How much is 154 Blackshots Lane, Grays, Thurrock, RM16 2LJ worth?
Estimated value — November 2026
£550,000
Likely range £414,000 – £717,000Four in five similar homes sold within their range when we tested it.
Latest recorded sale June 2008
52%
confidence
Medium
Typically within 12% of the sale price
Property details
Semi-detached house
Blackshots Lane · Grays · RM16 2LJ
Address
- District
- Thurrock
- County
- Thurrock
Value over time
- Modelled value
- Recorded sale
- Projected
- Likely range (80%)
- Today's estimate
Drawn through each of this property's recorded sales and ending at today's estimate, with the UK House Price Index for its area and property type filling in the months between. The shaded band is where four in five prices fell when we tested this line against real sales of similar homes; it widens the further a month is from a recorded sale, and today it matches the likely range above.
View as a table
| Year | Modelled value | Likely range | Recorded sale |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | £277,349 | £237,861 – £354,930 | £310,000 |
| 2009 | £276,352 | £238,651 – £328,590 | — |
| 2010 | £290,330 | £247,738 – £341,060 | — |
| 2011 | £286,711 | £241,247 – £338,474 | — |
| 2012 | £293,843 | £243,932 – £350,191 | — |
| 2013 | £301,849 | £247,408 – £363,608 | — |
| 2014 | £342,670 | £277,790 – £415,674 | — |
| 2015 | £403,009 | £323,691 – £491,494 | — |
| 2016 | £447,548 | £356,080 – £549,408 | — |
| 2017 | £463,430 | £364,912 – £573,546 | — |
| 2018 | £470,851 | £367,234 – £587,292 | — |
| 2019 | £467,699 | £361,819 – £587,934 | — |
| 2020 | £496,544 | £382,151 – £628,891 | — |
| 2021 | £530,479 | £406,675 – £676,501 | — |
| 2022 | £570,950 | £435,886 – £733,197 | — |
| 2023 | £543,670 | £413,488 – £701,688 | — |
| 2024 | £559,886 | £434,143 – £714,291 | — |
| 2025 | £561,290 | £427,592 – £725,464 | — |
| 2026 | £550,000 | £414,000 – £717,000 | — |
Sale history
Mortgage calculator
£2,952
Estimated monthly repayment
£495,000
Loan amount
£567,677
Total interest
£1,062,677
Total repayable
A guide only, based on a capital repayment mortgage held at a constant interest rate for the full term. Not a mortgage offer or financial advice.
Related properties
- 156 Blackshots Lane, Grays, Thurrock, RM16 2LJ£410,000 · 2015£554,000
- 171 Blackshots Lane, Grays, Thurrock, RM16 2LJ£295,000 · 2011£563,000
- 155 Blackshots Lane, Grays, Thurrock, RM16 2LJ£250,000 · 2005£528,000
- 160 Blackshots Lane, Grays, Thurrock, RM16 2LJ£475,000 · 2023£465,000
- 162 Blackshots Lane, Grays, Thurrock, RM16 2LJ£355,000 · 2019£478,000
- 168 Blackshots Lane, Grays, Thurrock, RM16 2LJ£355,000 · 2016£450,000
- 158 Blackshots Lane, Grays, Thurrock, RM16 2LJ£329,995 · 2015£473,000
- 164 Blackshots Lane, Grays, Thurrock, RM16 2LJ£230,000 · 2012£453,000
- 157 Blackshots Lane, Grays, Thurrock, RM16 2LJ£227,500 · 2010£423,000
- 182 Blackshots Lane, Grays, Thurrock, RM16 2LJ£234,000 · 2008£433,000
About this property
154 Blackshots Lane, Grays, Thurrock, RM16 2LJ is a semi-detached house on Blackshots Lane in Grays, Thurrock. Stede's estimated value for November 2026 is £550,000. Four in five similar homes sold within their likely range when tested; for this property that range is £414,000 to £717,000. It combines its own last sale brought up to date with the House Price Index (75%) and recent sales of 158 similar homes in the same postcode sector (25%). The confidence score is 52 out of 100 (medium): estimates like this one are typically within 12% of the eventual sale price.
It last sold in June 2008 for £310,000. The current estimate is 77% higher than that price. The current owner has held it for about 18 years.
The modelled value is down 2% over the past year and up 5% over the past five years.
Among 10 nearby properties Stede tracks in the RM16 area, estimated values run from £423,000 to £563,000. This semi-detached house's £550,000 sits toward the upper end of that range.
Common questions
How much is 154 Blackshots Lane, Grays, Thurrock, RM16 2LJ worth?
Stede estimates 154 Blackshots Lane, Grays, Thurrock, RM16 2LJ is worth £550,000 as of November 2026, within a likely range of £414,000 to £717,000. The estimate is generated automatically from recorded sale prices of this and similar nearby homes and the UK House Price Index, and is not a formal valuation.
When did 154 Blackshots Lane, Grays, Thurrock, RM16 2LJ last sell?
It last sold in June 2008 for £310,000.
What type of property is 154 Blackshots Lane, Grays, Thurrock, RM16 2LJ?
It is recorded as a Semi-detached house on Blackshots Lane in the RM16 postcode area.
How reliable is this estimate?
The confidence score is 52 out of 100 (medium). Tested against real sales of similar homes, estimates like this one are typically within 12% of the sale price, and four in five sold within their likely range. The figure is a data model, not a RICS valuation or Home Report, and should not be used for mortgage or legal decisions.
How does Stede calculate this estimate?
It combines its own last sale brought up to date with the House Price Index (75%) and recent sales of 158 similar homes in the same postcode sector (25%). Each piece of evidence gets the share that proved most accurate when tested against real sales of similar homes, and the same testing sets the likely range and confidence. Full detail is on the methodology page.
How we got this figure
We weighed the evidence below, giving each piece the share that proved most accurate when we tested it against real sales of similar homes. The likely range and confidence come from testing the same method against 26,552 real sales of similar homes.
- Its sale in June 2008, brought up to today with the House Price Index£589,28175%
- 158 similar homes sold recently in the same postcode sector£431,58225%
Estimate £550,000, likely £414,000 – £717,000
Read the full methodology and data sources →